Could the US-China trade deal save or sink Trump?

My interview with USSC's 2020Vision podcast

I talk to the United States Studies Center’s @2020VisionCast podcast about last week's tentative trade deal between the US and China, US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross's visit to Australia and other topics.

What is really driving monetary policy?

Insightful column into the allocation of responsibility for macroeconomic policy

I get a mention in this insightful column by Parnell McGuinness noting that the debate over monetary policy is really about the allocation of responsibility for macroeconomic policy. RBA needs to step-up, not deflect.

Trump's fake trade deal comes at a high price for global economy

The economic damage from tariffs will get worse in 2020

I have an op-ed in the AFR on the tentative trade deal the Trump Administration has negotiated with China. While partially forestalling a further tariff increase, enormous economic damage has already been done and will get worse in 2020.

See Scott Sumner for a related take on why the US is losing the trade war.

Fiscal stimulus and open economy crowding-out

I’m quoted in this AFR story on the open economy crowing-out effects via the exchange rate and net exports that could be expected from a discretionary fiscal stimulus.

I make the case in more detail in this 2013 op-ed marking the 30th anniversary of the float Australian dollar.

Rare earths: Is there a case for government intervention?

David Uren has a new report out with the United States Studies Centre, Rare earths: Is there a case for government intervention?

There is an op-ed version of David’s report here.

Phillip Coorey and John Kehoe write-up the report in the AFR in the context of US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross’s current visit to Australia.

David’s report is the subject of Matthew Stevens column in the AFR.

There are also write-ups in the Sydney Morning Herald and the West Australian.

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